Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000099 0.000109 0.000119 0.000132 0.000145 0.000159 0.000176
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000094 0.000110 0.000131 0.000156 0.000185 0.000221
2026-02-08 0.000066 0.000083 0.000103 0.000129 0.000162 0.000204 0.000260
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000074 0.000096 0.000126 0.000166 0.000218 0.000293
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000069 0.000093 0.000127 0.000174 0.000239 0.000337
2026-03-01 0.000047 0.000066 0.000091 0.000129 0.000184 0.000263 0.000385
2026-03-08 0.000043 0.000061 0.000087 0.000126 0.000186 0.000274 0.000417
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000056 0.000081 0.000122 0.000185 0.000281 0.000442
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000053 0.000080 0.000123 0.000192 0.000301 0.000490
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000052 0.000079 0.000124 0.000199 0.000322 0.000541
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000049 0.000076 0.000122 0.000201 0.000333 0.000577
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000122 0.000206 0.000349 0.000624
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000120 0.000207 0.000361 0.000665
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000120 0.000213 0.000381 0.000722
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000118 0.000214 0.000393 0.000769
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000214 0.000402 0.000808
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000116 0.000221 0.000426 0.000882
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000118 0.000230 0.000455 0.000971
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000033 0.000061 0.000116 0.000229 0.000463 0.001014
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000226 0.000466 0.001044
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000057 0.000113 0.000233 0.000491 0.001131
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000057 0.000114 0.000240 0.000518 0.001227
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000112 0.000241 0.000530 0.001284